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How Far Can We Realisitically Go?

#1 User is offline   Chevelle2 Icon

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Posted 05 November 2007 - 12:18 PM

Im not usually one to start a topic, but I reallyy want to this time. Before the season started, I had us going 11-5. Now certainly, thats still possible, but I had us losing to: Philly, SD, Denver, Chi, and Dallas. We have beaten 3 of those teams, should have beaten the other one, and have yet to play the last one. So they have certainly exceeded my personal expectations.

With that being said, how far can we actually go? Of course there is no definate answer. Much is predicated on injuries, what Dallas does, what Detroit does, but it generates interesting thoughts and discussions nonetheless imo. Here is our remaining sked with my predictions.


MIN (W)
CAR (W)
@det (L)
@dallas ( Toss Up, I personally feel we can hang with them)
OAK (W)
@stl (W - but it could go either way)
@chicago (W = but again, could go either way)
DET (W)

Of the possible 4 losses, say we split and win 2. That puts us at 13-3. A fabulous mark. That would give us a bye, and perhaps HFA depending on what Dallas does. We would play a team such as NYG/DET/WAS/TB? at home in our first playoff game. And then most likely Dallas in the NFCCG. Because we most likely have to go thru Dallas, the upcoming matchup excites me, to see how well we stack up with them. Dallas, and as much as it pains me to say, Detroit, scare me. Here are there remaning skeds:

Dallas:

@nyg
WAS
NYJ
GB
@detroit
PHI
@car
@wash


Detroit

@arizona
NYG
GB
@min
DAL
@san diego
KC
@green bay

Any thoughts?
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#2 User is offline   LMG Icon

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Posted 05 November 2007 - 12:30 PM

I like our schedule.
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#3 User is offline   Bud Icon

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Posted 05 November 2007 - 12:33 PM

QUOTE (LMG @ Nov 5 2007, 03:10 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I like our schedule.



Me too. I'd take a guess at what to expect but to tell you the truth, I was realistically wrong about how this season would play out. I'm happy how things are turning out and I'm just going to enjoy the ride for the rest of the season.
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#4 User is offline   BFavre4MVP Icon

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Posted 05 November 2007 - 12:40 PM

Chevelle, I notice you have all the remaining home games as wins, with no "could go either way" notes. Bear in mind that since McCarthy has taken over this team, they have been significantly better on the road.

I avoid predictions, and will continue to do so, but I will say I think we will suffer at least one more home defeat this season. In addition, Detroit on Thanksgiving scares me regardless of how good or bad they are on any given year. Having a game on Thanksgiving with major divisional/playoff implications is getting me excited already. I love this season.

I'm not going to over analyze at this point, I'm just going to continue believing and enjoying.
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#5 User is offline   maxman44 Icon

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Posted 05 November 2007 - 12:44 PM

Only one team left on the schedule with a legit TE - Dallas/Witten

Olsen is decent

Covering the TE has been an obvious thorn in the side so the schedule is favorable from that aspect

One would think that Carolina & Oakland homes games and @ St. Louis should be games the Packers are highly favored to win.

Should be favorites in the Detroit & Minnesota home games.

I'd imagine they'll be underdogs in the games at Detroit, Dallas & Chicago

If they just win the games they are favored in they'll be 12-4

I like the schedule too
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#6 User is offline   sinatra Icon

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Posted 05 November 2007 - 01:18 PM

Predictions:
W's against St Louis, Carolina, Chicago and Oakland
Split games with Detroit
Loss to Dallas

No idea how this week's game will go...AP is ungodly.

Forecast:
NFC championship appearance: Likely
Super Bowl appearance: Possible

I think Dallas will drop at least three more games. If Green Bay can win the games they SHOULD win, I think they'll have a good shot at HFA through out. If they can beat Dallas in week 13, then I'd consider it a lock.
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#7 User is offline   cheezehead Icon

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Posted 05 November 2007 - 01:22 PM

QUOTE (sinatra @ Nov 5 2007, 03:58 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Forecast:
NFC championship appearance: Likely
Super Bowl appearance: Possible


I'll take it...
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#8 User is offline   Chevelle2 Icon

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Posted 05 November 2007 - 01:26 PM

BFAVRE4MVP -

With regard to the home record being worse than the road record, it may have a lot to do with the caliber of teams we have played under MM at both venues:

Home: Jets (when they were good), Pats, Bears x 2, STL (when they were good), NEWORL (when they were good)

Away: Miami, SF, NYG (when they struggled), @ Min x2, @Detroit
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#9 User is offline   Ed West Icon

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Posted 05 November 2007 - 01:41 PM

QUOTE (BFavre4MVP @ Nov 5 2007, 02:20 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Chevelle, I notice you have all the remaining home games as wins, with no "could go either way" notes. Bear in mind that since McCarthy has taken over this team, they have been significantly better on the road.

I avoid predictions, and will continue to do so, but I will say I think we will suffer at least one more home defeat this season. In addition, Detroit on Thanksgiving scares me regardless of how good or bad they are on any given year. Having a game on Thanksgiving with major divisional/playoff implications is getting me excited already. I love this season.

I'm not going to over analyze at this point, I'm just going to continue believing and enjoying.


McCarthy has done a great job on the road. In the past I would have expected the Packers to lose in Denver and KC, even with Holmgren. MM just seems to have the ability to get them to play well on the road. I am not saying they will win on Thanksgiving or in Dallas, but I will no longer go into those games with the pessimistic attitude I used to.
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#10 User is offline   Ralimar Icon

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Posted 05 November 2007 - 02:17 PM

For the other teams, predictions:

Dallas:

@nyg - L (Giants will want revenge for earlier)
WAS - W - but a close one, if WAS had more of an offense this would be a L
NYJ - W
GB - Toss up
@detroit - L (you heard it here first- detroit had their number last year, they will again this year)
PHI - W
@car - W
@wash - L


Detroit

@arizona - W
NYG - L (These guys will give Dallas a late season challenge for the NFC East)
GB - Toss up
@min - L (Peterson's Revenge)
DAL - W (They get them at home, and Det is a different team at Ford Field)
@san diego - L
KC - L (I think their poroous OL will come back to bite them against KC's pass rush)
@green bay - L


I see Dallas losing between 2-4 games from here on out, and Detroit losing as many as 6.

Which if my math-addled brain is correct would give them 11-5 and 8-8 respectively. I think that is about right, and I also think Detroit is headed for a massive flameout the second half of this season.

I see us getting at least 11 wins, with 13 being the ceiling. We'll either be #1 or #2 seed depending on how the dallas game works out later this month.

I definitely think we have the easiest schedule of the 3 here too, which helps. If we can get by splitting with Detroit, sweeping Minny, and splitting with the Bears, we'll be just fine. (which by itself gets us to 10 wins- only have to win 1 of the others on the schedule, to get to 11 and probably #2 seed territory at the least)
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