I appreciate that asking who has the best outside chance to play in/win the superbowl sounds like a contradiction in terms in a way.
I mean, from the odds standpoint, based on what you know or have seen from teams playing in preseason and so far this season, if you were going to wager on a long shot for the super bowl, who would you wager on? Not a ridiculously long shot, but a team that's looking good but is definitely very long odds against winning the super bowl.
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Considering the Super Bowl who has the best "outside" chance?
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